2017 Quicken Loans National Odds and Prediction

by Kevin Roberts
on June 28, 2017

Apparently, this is Rickie Fowler’s world and we’re all just living in it. , who has been one of the more consistent names on the green in 2017. Fowler strolls into TPC Potomac for the 2017 Quicken Loans National, where he’ll hope to build off an elite showing at the U.S. Open.

Fowler enters as the tentative favorite, besting an otherwise wide open field that will be missing Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Dustin Johnson, among other massive names. Fowler certainly isn’t a weak favorite, as he’s been in strong form for much of the year, racking up five top-5 runs and one big win at this year’s Honda Classic.

Still, Fowler is seemingly the interim favorite in a field that is less star-studded but certainly has its fair share of viable contenders. In addition, the course history can be tossed to the side for this one, as the PGA Tour makes its first stop back at TPC Potomac since 2006.

So, can we expect Fowler to stay focused after failing to close the deal in two of his last three tournaments, or will someone else again steal his thunder? Let’s first take a look at the latest odds to see who some of the top favorites and sleepers might be:

2017 Quicken Loans National – Odds to Win

Bovada gives us some of the best PGA Tour odds we can find and, sure enough, they have Fowler leading the way here. Fowler is followed closely by Justin Thomas and Patrick Reed, though, both of which seem to be clear threats to the crown for this weekend’s tourney:
Quicken Loans National Odds

Top Favorites

Again, Fowler is up here for good reason. He’s in fantastic form, he’s arguably the best golfer here in terms of sheer talent and he actually finished 2nd in this event two years ago. The course is different and it’s actually expected to be a pretty big challenge, but Fowler is still very much the favorite he’s being pegged as initially.

That doesn’t mean he will for sure win, of course. Justin Thomas and Patrick Reed are right behind him in the latest Quicken Loans National odds, as Thomas has been ablaze (3 wins, 6 top-10 finishes) this year and finished 9th at the U.S. Open. Reed’s numbers haven’t been nearly as good as either of these guys in 2017, but he’s building positive momentum after finishing 13th at the U.S. Open and 5th at the Travelers Championship.

This is a pretty dangerous trio here and considering all of their odds (+800 or higher) are pretty playable, you’re getting a solid bang for your buck if you can nail any of them as the winner.

Other viable contenders with odds below +3000 are Bill Haas and Brendan Steele. Haas is being regarded as one of the top threats going into this tournament, having stormed his way to 5th place at the U.S. Open and finishing within the top 25 in each of his last three outings. Steele has been respectable (13th and 14th) over his last two tournaments, too, and unlike Haas, actually has a 2017 win under his belt.

Outside of just chasing one guy at the top spot, we get some clever “pairing” bets at Bovada, as the site is offering a Bill Haas & Patrick Reed vs. The Field bet (+900 to take Haas/Reed and -2000 to take the Field). A top 10 finish for Haas (+200) also looks like a solid bet worth taking for the weekend.

Sneaky Sleepers

Whether you like some of the favorites enough to get behind them with your cash is one thing, but in a game so volatile as golf, it always makes sense to attack elite value when you see it.

There are a few golfers who could grant us that starting on Thursday, as Bovada has issues some very interesting odds for a few players. Here are the options that stand out the most for us:

  • Billy Horschel (+4500)
  • Keegan Bradley (+5000)
  • Jonas Blixt (+17500)

You could dig really deep and try to find someone in the +30000-+50000 range, but we’d be grasping at straws. Maybe we’re doing that here, regardless, but there could potentially be some very real value in getting behind one of these guys, either as a winner or top 10 finishser.

Horschel bottomed out at the U.S. Open, but he showed his best stuff at the St. Jude Classic (4th). The 30-year old has a win under his belt in 2017 and has placed inside the top-5 four different times.

, as he finished 8th at the Travelers Championship and was much better than Horschel at the U.S. Open. He’s also been solid across the board on the year, finishing 4th at the Farmers Insurance Open and notching four top-10 runs. I don’t like his upside as much as Horschel’s, so he’d be the odd man out if we’re picking between the two.

I’m not seeing anyone necessarily worth a massive dive when we look at the really bad odds ahead of this tournament, but Jonas Blixt isn’t getting much respect. The 33-year old has been working his way backward and finished 62nd at the Travelers Championship, but he did win the Zurich Classic and has some upside to his game. The odds are the real draw here, of course.

Who Will Win at Quicken Loans National?

Justin Thomas is probably the only big name golfer I really fear going into this one, other than standing by the favored Rickie Fowler. He’s been quite prolific on the year and with a diluted field, he could easily pave his way to the top spot.

Ultimately, I think there’s something to be said about an elite talent bouncing back and provided he’s on top of his game, I don’t see much standing in Rickie Fowler’s way in this one. Most of the top golf experts are backing Fowler due to talent and recent form, plus a challenge course should level the playing field considerably.

Fowler can hit tough shots and knows how to start hot, but he will have to really have it too close strong with Thomas likely keeping things tight. Thomas is a very real threat, but ultimately I think someone comes out of nowhere or we’re looking at Fowler’s second win of the year. He’s really been fantastic all season and this has the feel of his year. A second win would make that official.

If you’re not into putting all of your eggs in one basket you could consider a different (or additional) bet by pairing Fowler with Justin Thomas, much like the previously mentioned Haas/Reed bet. Fowler and Thomas own +450 odds against the Field (-750). In the event Fowler again comes close but doesn’t quite nab first, we suggest going hard at a Top 5 finish (+175) at Bovada.

Pick: Rickie Fowler (+800)
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