2019 Criterium du Dauphine Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions

by Rick Rockwell
on June 7, 2019
10

Minute Read

On Sunday, June 9th, the 71st edition of the Criterium du Dauphine will commence as some of cycling’s biggest stars participate in one of France’s most cherished annual road races. In fact, this race is considered the lead-up to cycling’s biggest race – the Tour de France, which is why we will be seeing some of the sport’s biggest names.

This 8-day, eight stage race will start in Aurillac, France, which is located in the French Alps region. The race is organized by Amaury Sport Organization (ASO), who also organize Paris-Nice, Paris-Roubaix, and the Tour de France.

With many big names and top competitors set to take the starting line on Sunday, cycling betting sites have Jakob Fuglsang as the odds on favorite to win with Chris Froome slightly behind him. Let’s take a deep dive into these cycling odds, look for any betting value, and predict the 2019 Criterium du Dauphine outright winner.

The 2019 Criterium du Dauphine Route

Like with the previous 70 editions of this race, the 2019 Criterium du Dauphine will be raced over 8 days with no rest days. The following is a breakdown of this year’s course:

Stage 1 (June 9th) – from Aurillac to Jussac: An 88.2 mile (142km) stage with some medium mountain climbs to start the race. The finale is a circuit of 2 climbs up the Cote de la Route des Cretes.

Stage 2 (June 10th) – from Mauriac to Crappone-sur-Arzon: This hilly stage is 111.8 (180km) miles long and is a relatively calm day compared to other stages.

Stage 3 (June 11th) – from Le Puy-en-Velay to Riom: This is a relatively flat stage where sprinters are expected to conquer the 106.9 mile (172km) course.

Stage 4 (June 12th) – Roanne: The Dauphine will remain in Roanne for a 16.2 mile (26.1km) individual time trial. Those time trial specialists will be looking to gain some time on their rivals before heading into the mounts.

Stage 5 (June 13th) – from Boen-sur-Lignon to Voiron: At 124.9 miles (201km), this is the second longest stage in the race, but it’s small hills and relative flatness will be the last chance that sprinters have at winning a stage.

Stage 6 (June 14th) – from Saint-Vulbas Plaine de l’Ain to Saint-Michel-de-Maurienne: This stage is the longest of the race at 141.7 miles (228km). It will mostly take place on medium size mountains with a tricky descent to finish off the stage.

Stage 7 (June 15th) – from Saint-Genix-les-Villages to Les Sept Laux-Pipay: At only 82.6 miles (133km) this will be the toughest stage of the race. There are numerous climbs with over 4,100 meters of elevation gain. The GC contenders will look to put the hammer down on this day.

Stage 8 (June 16th) – from Cluses to Champery in Switzerland: Other than the time trial, this is the shortest stage of the race at just 70.5 miles (113.5km). However, it will have a half dozen intermediate climbs before finishing in Switzerland.

Previous Criterium du Dauphine Winners

The Criterium du Dauphine was originally created by the French newspaper Le Dauphine Libere in 1947. This paper was located in Grenoble, the home of Andre the Giant, and it wanted to improve its status by organizing a race in the Dauphine region. Organizers decided to hold the race in June, prior to the Tour de France, and use it as a catalyst for the ultimate stage cycling in France. With that said, Edouard Klabinski won the first race. 5 riders hold the record with three wins. The following is a list of previous winners dating back to 2000. Despite being stripped of their wins, I have left Lance Armstrong and Levi Leipheimer in this list:

  • Tyler Hamilton in 2000
  • Christophe Moreau in 2001, 2007
  • Lance Armstrong in 2002, 2003
  • Iban Mayo in 2004
  • Inigo Landaluze in 2005
  • Levi Leipheimer in 2006
  • Alejandro Valverde in 2008, 2009
  • Janez Brajkovic in 2010
  • Bradley Wiggins in 2011, 2012
  • Chris Froome in 2013, 2015, 2016
  • Jakob Fuglsang in 2017
  • Geraint Thomas in 2018

Chris Froome will be participating in this race and looking to for his 4th career win, which would set the all-time record for most wins. Fuglsang joins Froome as the only previous winner to enter this race. Last year’s winner Geraint Thomas will not be in this year’s race. He’s decided to do the Tour de Suisse instead.

Criterium du Dauphine Betting Odds

The following Criterium du Dauphine betting odds are courtesy of Betway:

  • Jakob Fuglsang (+333)
  • Chris Froome (+350)
  • Richie Porte (+500)
  • Nairo Quintana (+650)
  • Adam Yates (+1000)
  • Julian Alaphilippe (+1000)
  • Michal Kwiatkowski (+1000)
  • Tom Dumoulin (+1000)
  • Thibaut Pinot (+ 1200)
  • Steven Kruijswijk (+1800)
  • Romain Bardet (+2000)
  • Dan Martin (+2500)
  • Wout Poels (+2500)
  • David Gaudu (+3300)
  • Emmanuel Buchmann (+3300)
  • Michael Woods (+3300)
  • Dylan Teuns (+5000)
  • Felix Grosschartner (+5000)
  • Jack Haig (+5000)
  • Dylan Van Vaarle (+6600)
  • Tejay Van Garderen (+6600)
  • Wout Van Aert (+6600)

Betting Favorites to Win the Dauphine

The following cyclists are considered the odds on favorites to win the Dauphine:

Jakob Fuglsang (+333)

Jakob Fuglsang comes into this race as the betting favorite. He is the 2017 winner and this will be his 5th Dauphine appearance. In addition to 1st, he’s also finished 10th, 4th and 6th.

For 2019, Fuglsang has had a solid campaign so far. He finished 2nd at Strade Bianche, 3rd at Tirreno-Adriatico, 3rd at the Amstel Gold Race, 2nd at La Flech Wallonne and 1st at Liege-Bastogne. That’s a strong classics season and one that has many pundits thinking he will be a real threat to win this year’s Dauphine.

One of my concerns for Fuglsang is his supporting cast. Jakob will be leading Team Astana, but they’re bringing a team that only has 3 riders with more than 1 year experience in this race. That means 4 of the 7 riders have either never been in this race before or have only been in 1 time.

The other concern I have is whether or not he can hang with other GC contenders in the time trial like Chris Froome and Tom Dumoulin. Even Steven Kruijswik and Richie Porte are dangerous time trialists and GC contenders that Fuglsang will have to deal with.

Chris Froome (+350)

Froome did not participate in last year’s Dauphine as he competed in the Giro d’Italia and won. From there, Froome rested until the Tour de France, skipping both this race and the Tour de Suisse. His form suffered in last year’s TDF and the 4-time winner ended up finishing 3rd as his teammate Thomas won the Grand Tour. This year, Froome is looking to use this Dauphine race as a spring board to winning his 5th TDF. He’s also hoping to win his 4th career Criterium du Dauphine and set the all-time mark.

Froome is tabbed to lead Team Ineos, formerly Team Sky, in his 7th Dauphine race. As mentioned, he’s already won 3 Dauphines and finished 4th in two others. His 2014 performance saw Froome slip down to 12th. Froome has Criterium du Dauphine 6 stage wins overall.

As the leader, Froome will benefit of having one of the best, if not the best team in the race. Only one of his teammates has less than 2 attempts at that race. He will also have the support of some of the peloton’s strongest riders like Michal Kwiatkowski and Wout Poels.

For Froome, he hasn’t done much in 2019 as far as success on the bike. More than anything, he was working on his form and preparing for this time of the year. Froome commented on his 2019 strategy and his goal for this year’s Dauphine:

“This approach and build-up to July is something we’ve tried and tested quite a few times over the years now. Our camp went really well, and as always at the second camp in Tenerife I start to feel a lot more ready for racing. Now I’m looking forward to pinning on some numbers at the Dauphine. It’s hard to say where I’m going to be, given I haven’t done much racing recently, but I’d like to be there fighting for the overall win at the Dauphiné. The Tour group as a whole is moving forward and looking really good and ready for the next couple of months ahead. So hopefully we’ll have a really strong outing at the Dauphine as well.”

Froome believes that this route is “well-balanced,” which I happen to agree. There are a few stages in the beginning where everyone will stick together. Then the 3rd stage will see fireworks at the individual time trial. But, the GC riders won’t really start testing each other until Stage 6 before the big showdown on Stage 7.

Despite his lack of success and race appearances in 2019, you have to like Froome’s chances this year in the Dauphine.

Richie Porte (+500)

It’s hard to think about Team Sky (now Team Ineos), without thinking about when Richie Porte used to be a teammate of Chris Froome. Over the last few years, they have battled it out for some of the sport’s biggest prizes. For the most part, Froome has gotten the better of Porte. However, this year, Richie has looked better in his races than Froome has.

Porte finished 2nd at the Santos Tour Down Under, 5th in the Herald Sun Tour, and 5th at the Tour of California. Richie will lead Trek-Segafredo and will have some support alongside of him, but not to the degree that Froome has.

This will be Porte’s 6th appearance at the Dauphine. Last year, Porte didn’t race at the Dauphine. His last appearance was in 2017 and he finished 2nd to Fuglsang. It was the second time in his career that he was runner up in this race. He was 4th in 2016, just missing out on the podium.

Porte is a strong time trialist and will be in GC contention this year. The only question is whether or not he will be able to hang in the mountains with some of the sport’s best climbers.

Nairo Quintana (+650)

Quintana has had a quiet 2019 so far, despite modest success. He was 5th overall at the Colombia 2.1, 2nd at Paris-Nice, and 4th at Volta Catalunya. However, he only has 1 stage win throughout the year. With that said, Quintana has declared that he will lead Team Movistar at the Tour de France, which also means he’s the unquestioned leader for the Dauphine:

“Eusebio Unzué has told me that I will be the leader for the Tour, so I have been preparing for that and I hope to count on the support of my team-mates. I come to the Tour with more experience, knowing more about my body, the team and the route. I am focused on this goal and I trust in my preparation, I always give the best. For me this Tour is simply a new opportunity that I will take full advantage of and I hope that things go well.”

If Quintana is going to be the leader at the Tour de France, after Movistar went with a 3-headed monster last year, then Nairo is going to have to race well at the Dauphine. He might not need a win to convince his team or his rivals, but he will need to be a factor and have a Top 5 finish to justify Movistar’s captaincy.

With that said, Quintana has one Dauphine appearance and that came in 2012. He will lose time on the ITT for Stage 3, but the final mountain stages could be when he launches an attack. If he breaks free then he could end up making a run at the podium.

Adam Yates (+1000)

Yates has taken an interesting route to get to the Dauphine. He did not ride in some of the bigger races this season, choosing to enter races that prepared him for the Dauphine and the TDF. On the year, Yates has Top 8 in every race he completed. Most notably, he was 4th at Liege-Bastogne, 2nd at Volta Catalunya, and 2nd at Tirreno-Adriatico.

Yates will be the captain of Mitchelton-Scott for the Dauphine and he hopes to build off of his 2nd place finish from last year. Yates commented on his supporting cast for the 2019 Criterium du Dauphine:

“I can not wait to run again after a short break followed by a big training block. The Dauphine is still a hard race, each using it as a final preparation before the Tour. It will be a good test for my legs.  We have a great team with Jack Haig, who returned from injury. I’m anxious to see what we can achieve it.”

This will be Yates’ 5th Dauphine race. He will not have his talented brother Simon Yates with him as Simon just competed in the Giro. Adam has finished in the Top 7 for three of his four Dauphine races and is a favorite to compete for the podium this year.

Best Dauphine Betting Value

These cyclists offer solid betting value based on their current Criterium du Dauphine odds, their past success in this race, and their 2019 cycling season so far:

Tom Dumoulin (+1000)

I am a bit surprised to see Dumoulin only listed at +1000 odds considering his level of talent. He will be the unquestioned leader of Team Sunweb and could compete for a podium if he’s 100% healthy. Dumoulin pulled out of the Giro d’Italia last month due to a knee injury. He finished 5th in the opening time trial and that was about all he accomplished. And, that was a disappointment considering his TT talent. With that said, Dumoulin is ready to compete in his first Dauphine as his team director noted that the former Giro winner is healthy enough to compete.

Dumoulin won the 2017 Giro and was 2nd in 2018. He also finished 2nd in the Tour de France for 2018 and is considered one of the best time trialists in the sport. This year’s Dauphine is suited for Tom. If he can perform well in the Stage 3 TT, and get the big diesel engine rumbling up the mountains in the final two stages, he will be a podium finisher this year. With that said, a crash or bad legs with a competitor, and Dumoulin could be staring down the possibility of winning this race.

Steven Kruijswijk (+1800)

Steven Kruijswijk comes into this race having only competed in three races during the season. Nevertheless, he finished 6th or better in all 3 races. Kruijswijk will enter his first Dauphine race and is tabbed as the captain for Team Jumbo-Visma. His teammate Primoz Roglic won’t be in this race as he competed in the Giro and had a disappointing finish to what was supposed to be his first Grand Tour win.

With Roglic worn out from the Giro, it remains unclear whether or not Primoz even participates in this year’s TDF. Last year, he finished 4th and Steven Kruijswijk finished 5th. If Steven does well at the Dauphine, he could be tabbed as the overall leader for the TDF and that means Team Jumbo-Vista will be riding for his overall GC aspirations. But, that all starts with this race and how well he does.

Steven Kruijswijk is a brilliant time trial rider and will be in the Top 5 for the ITT on Stage 3. He will also be able to hang in the mountains as there aren’t any stages that look too daunting for him. The question is whether or not the rest of his team can give Steven Kruijswijk the support he needs to be a podium contender. If they can, then watch out for Kruijswijk as he could be a threat to win the race.

Romain Bardet (+2000)

Last year, Romain Bardet finished 3rd overall in the Dauphine behind Thomas and Yates. It was his 5th overall appearance in the Dauphine, which takes place in his home country. Bardet has never finished worse than 6th overall and that was in 2017. He has a runner up finish in 2016 and will lead Team AG2R in this year’s race.

Team manager Vincent Lavenu made the following comments about his squad and Bardet:

“We are still three weeks away from the Tour de France, but we have always felt it is important to be successful at this race. This year again, we will be motivated to come with an undisputed leader, Romain Bardet, who has climbed twice onto the final podium (2nd in 2016, 3rd in 2018), and remains capable of climbing there.”

Like with other squads, Lavenu understands the importance of this race. He knows that it will show just what kind of form his team is in, especially Bardet. With his past success being a strong indicator, and a 5th at this year’s Paric-Nice, Bardet could once again contend for a podium finish. However, for that to happen, he will need to limit his losses in the time trial. In the 2 ITT’s that’s he competed in for the Dauphine, Bardet finished 46th in 2017 and 57th in 2014. That’s not going to cut it this year.

Dan Martin (+2500)

Dan Martin might not be my favorite rider overall, that honor goes to Froome and Cavendish, but Martin is one of my favorite riders to watch in any race. From one-day classics to stage races and Grand Tours, you can always count on Dan Martin providing us with excitement. And, I expect more fireworks from the Irishman in this race.

For the season, Martin has had up and down performances. Unfortunately, he struggled with an illness that kept him out of racing for the last 2 months. He’s now healthy and ready to hit the streets of France for this race.

This will be Martin’s 8th Dauphine and he has had a lot of success since becoming a leader or main rider of a team. His first 3 attempts (2009 to 2012) saw him finish as high as 32nd. Since then, Martin has had 4 straight Top 7 finishes. He made the podium in 2016 and 2017 as he finished 3rd in each race. Last year, he finished 4th.

Since he hasn’t raced much in the last few months, Martin is cautious with his expectations for the Dauphine, but does hope to get in some good racing as he prepares for the Tour de France in July:

“Training has gone well, and I feel good although I’m not sure on my expectations having not races since Liege-Bastogne-Liege, so it is always an unknown how the first race back will go. The aim is to get a good week’s racing in the legs and to continue building towards July. I’ve performed well in the last few years at the race, so I am just aiming to enjoy the race and hope the legs are there to be aggressive at some point in the week.”

If Martin is on form then there’s no reason why he can’t compete for the podium this year. With that said, Martin’s legs will show a man ready for the TDF or he will crack and have to work hard the rest of the month to get ready for the TDF. I expect some fireworks from Martin this year and a few surprises from his as well.

Top Longshot to Win the Criterium du Dauphine

Warren Barguil at +12500 is arguably the biggest longshot with any hope of winning. Let’s face it, with this much star power at the Dauphine, it would take a miracle for anyone beyond Dan Martin at +2500 to compete for the overall win. With that said, Barguil is an interesting story heading into this year’s Dauphine.

He’s recovered from a broken pelvis that he suffered in March at the Volta a Catalunya. He’s looked good in his rehab and training, but will need to prove that he can race well in the Dauphine to even earn a spot for the Tour de France. Barguil’s best finish in the Dauphine was 18th back in 2013. Last year, he finished 19th here. Like with his fellow countryman Bardet, Warren’s time trial riding has doomed him in the past. If he can ride well in Stage 3’s ITT then he could surprise a lot of people for this year’s Dauphine.

Who Will Win the 2019 Criterium du Dauphine?

Unlike the Tour de France, the Dauphine only has 8 stages compared to 21. And, this race doesn’t have the type of mountain stages that a rider like Quintana needs to dominate. So, I don’t see Nairo competing for the race victory especially with an individual time trial in this race.

Speaking of ITT’s, Bardet, Barguil and the race favorite Jakob Fuglsang are all poor TT riders. Although Fuglsang is the betting favorite for the Dauphine, he’s never finished higher than 23rd in an ITT. With TT riders and GC contenders like Froome, Dumoulin, Kruijswijk, Porte and Yates all poised for big times on the ITT, I don’t see Fuglsang winning his 2nd Dauphine.

As much as I like Dan Martin, his health and the overall level of competition have me concerned for his outright win. He will make the race fun to watch, but he won’t be able to hang with the big boys when it comes to the GC victory at the end of the 8 days.

I have zero confidence in Richie Porte to win this race. He’s a good TT rider and that will keep him in contention, but he doesn’t have the team to hang with Froome, Yates or Kruijswijk. As for Dumoulin, he’s a powerhouse, but his knee injury in the Giro and his probability of not being 100% healthy for this race has me thinking that he won’t be able to outlast the other top competitors.

I think the podium will go to these 3 riders: Froome, Yates and Kruijswijk. All three of these cyclists can climb and are strong in the time trials.

With that said, I’m going with Chris Froome to win this race. This summer is all about Froome making history. For Chris to accomplish that, he will need to show great form heading into the Tour de France and that means having a dominating performance in the Dauphine. This year’s course is tailor made for Froome as he will be strong in the ITT, possibly winning it, and the mountain stages don’t look like anything he can’t handle. His racing experience and level of talent are without peers in this race. But, he has the strongest team of the peloton and I believe that will earn him the win.

Chris Froome will become the only man to have 4 career Criterium du Dauphine wins and hopefully, he gets that historic 5th Tour de France win next month.

Criterium du Dauphine Betting Recap

Winner: Chris Froome (+350)

Betting Value:

  • Tom Dumoulin (+1000)
  • Steven Kruijswijk (+1800)
  • Romain Bardet (+2000)
  • Dan Martin (+2500)

Longshot: Warren Barguil (+12500)

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at hot-casino.com to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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