Dancing With the Stars Odds: Is Simone Biles Destined to Win Season 24?

by Kevin Roberts
on March 7, 2017

With the arrival of March comes the “madness” of the NCAA basketball tournaments, but this March also brings some madness on the dance floor. The hyped return of season 24 of Dancing With the Stars is finally just weeks away, as a brand new cast of athletes and celebrities will be competing for the Mirrorball trophy come March 20th.

A year ago we got to watch Olympic gymnast Laurie Hernandez take home the top prize, as she paired up with DWTS veteran instructor, Valentin Chmerkovskiy to get the job done. Hernandez entered last year’s competition as the top favorite with +350 odds to win Dancing With the Stars and made good on her Vegas backing. Having the assistance of Chmerkovskiy, who had four previous top-three finishes and one win, certainly didn’t hurt.

Chmerkovskiy returns against for season 24 of Dancing With the Stars, where he’ll pair with singer, Normani Kordei. Repeating as champion on DWTS won’t be easy, and due to the difficulty and some of the competition, it’s understandable to see Kordei and Chmerkovskiy don’t have the best odds to make it happen.

Part of the process in gauging who might win Dancing With the Stars certainly begins with how Vegas grades each pairing with the initial odds. With Hernandez winning as the original favorite last year, it’s fair to wonder if the odds will ring true again. Regardless, let’s take a look at the early Dancing With the Stars odds at Bovada and see if we can’t figure out who wins this season’s competition:

Dancing With the Stars Odds – Season 24

  • Simone Biles +200
  • Heather Morris +500
  • Bonner Bolton +700
  • Normani Kordei +700
  • Erika Jayne +750
  • Charo +800
  • Nancy Kerrigan +1000
  • Rashad Jennings +1200
  • Nick Viall +1600
  • David Ross +1600
  • Chris Kattan +2000
  • T +2500

This might be one of the most eclectic groupings at DWTS that we’ve ever seen. Biles gives yet another gymnast front-runner, as her size, agility and natural athleticism makes her a natural favorite just like Hernandez a season ago.

The other top favorites based on the odds are Morris, Bolton and Kordei. Morris is a dancing and musical veteran thanks to her experience on Glee, Bolton may be an underrated athlete as a professional bull rider and Kordei hails from the popular female group Fifth Harmony and also has experience with dancing.

Those are your top favorites when you look at the early Dancing With the Stars odds, but they certainly aren’t the only viable bets in this field.

Viall, Ross, Kattan and Mr. T return the most upside when you look at their odds, but they are longshots for pretty good reason. Ross just won the World Series as a backup catcher with the Chicago Cubs and while he is a professional athlete, it’s fair to wonder if the 39-year old is the athlete you’ll actually want to be targeting in this competition.

Viall has the same odds as Ross, and all he is really known for is getting on The Bachelor as much as possible and hailing from Wisconsin. While certainly in good shape, there is nothing promoting a surprise win out of Viall.

Kattan is more likely than not part of the cast for comedic relief. He does have experience on broadway and has a flexible frame, so it wouldn’t be too crazy to see him being passable as a dancer. However, he’s not as athletic as most of this field, so banking on the 46-year old to shock with a win feels like a huge reach.

Ditto for Mr. T, as we pity the fool who bets hard on the former A-Team star coming away with a surprise win. Mr. T was in amazing physical shape in his prime, but the now 64-year old actor feels like a considerable reach when you look at the rest of the competition. Mr. T has a professional wrestling background, but it’s unclear if he’ll be nimble enough to impress in season 24 of Dancing With the Stars.

Top Sleepers

Just outside of the top four is Real Housewives of Beverly Hills star, Erika Jayne. The 45-year old has made waves for her controversial side career, but love her or hate her, there’s no denying her sex appeal and dancing ability. Whether or not that translates to classy, sophisticated dancing, of course, is anyone’s guess.

Other sleepers to ponder are former skating star Nancy Kerrigan, who would be a great feel good story. The former skating pro is known for winning bronze and silver in the Olympics, and was also the 1993 U.S. champion. Her athletic ability and nimble feet could give her a distinct edge on the dance floor, potentially making the 47-year old one of the top sleeper plays.

The same probably goes for Charo, who is best known for her work as an actress and guitar playing, but also brings some dance experience to the table. The 65-year old offers spunk and years of experience in the industry, and could very well be an interesting sleeper to monitor early in the competition.

One other sleeper worth throwing some money at could be former NFL running back, Rashad Jennings. Recently released by the New York Giants, Jennings will aim to follow the same type of success that other pro football players have had in the competition. Calvin Johnson placed third in Dancing With the Stars last season and three other NFL players (Emmitt Smith, Donald Driver and Hines Ward) have taken first place in the competition.

Who Will Win Season 24 of Dancing With the Stars?

Before we can really nail this thing down, we need to identity our true favorites. Running through the celebrity contestants is half the work, but we need to also pay attention to the success of the professional dancers.

Of the ones competing this season, Valentin Chmerkovskiy, Peta Murgatroyd, Witney Carson, Maksim Chmerkovskiy and Kym Johnson have all won at least once. The legendary Derek Hough is not among the season 24 cast members.

Looking at these successful dancers and their celebrity counterparts, Heather Morris may stand out the most. She’s paired with a winning dancer and she has the talent to combine her efforts with his partner to potentially drive home a win.

That being said, Erika Jayne and Rashad Jennings look like the most interesting sleepers behind top favorite, Simone Biles. The nice thing about Biles is that she’s a very compelling favorite and she still yields playable +200 odds.

If you’re looking for upside and a solid bet, we’ll take Erika Jayne. If you’re looking for safety and the most logical winner, roll with Biles.

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