Week 10 NFL Picks: Odds and Predictions For Every Game

by Kevin Roberts
on November 9, 2016

Week 10 of the 2016 NFL season gets underway this Thursday night, when the Baltimore Ravens host the Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football.

Thursday’s showdown in front of the nation marks the second meeting of the season between the AFC North foes, as Baltimore shoots for the series sweep and a 5-4 record. Cleveland, meanwhile, hunts for their first win of the year as they come into the new week at 0-9.

Thursday’s Ravens vs. Browns battle is just the tip of the iceberg this week, as we get a very heavy 14-game slate with just four teams on bye.

In addition to the Browns/Ravens rivalry game, week 10 is jam-packed with storylines, with two other huge divisional clashes and a whopping nine games carrying playoff implications.

For another wild week of pro football action, follow along with us as we hit up each matchup and see which way you’ll want to be betting in week 10:

Cleveland Browns (+10)
VS
Baltimore Ravens (-10)
Total: 45

Cleveland let the Ravens off the hook in a rough 25-20 home loss in week two, at one point holding a 20-2 first quarter lead. A lot has changed since then, however, as the Ravens are shooting for the top of the AFC North and Cleveland is still searching for their first win.

The Browns did steal an OT win in Baltimore last year, but otherwise do not have a good history against the Ravens (2-15) in their last 17 meetings. It should be much more of the same on TNF.

Pick

Ravens
34

Browns
17

Denver Broncos (+2.5)
VS
New Orleans Saints (-2.5)
Total: 49

The Broncos and Saints get together for an inter-conference meeting at the Superdome this weekend, which could either showcase Drew Brees and co. once again dominating at home, or the defending Super Bowl champs regaining their footing with a big road win.

It’s tough to have any faith in Trevor Siemian these days, but it’s even harder to trust the Saints’ defense or this inconsistent team’s ability to get over .500. Odds are we get a close game, but the Saints probably shouldn’t be favored here.

Pick

Broncos
20

Saints
17

Green Bay Packers (-3)
VS
Tennessee Titans (+3)
Total: 49.5

A couple of weeks ago the Packers merely looked like a decent team surviving a bad string of injuries. Two losses later and everyone in Wisconsin is hitting the panic button. Green Bay can still salvage their season with a big road win in Tennessee this week, but a loss to Marcus Mariota and co. could effectively crush their playoff hopes. Something tells me Aaron Rodgers isn’t about to let that happen.

Pick

Packers
27

Titans
20

Atlanta Falcons (-1)
VS
Philadelphia Eagles (+1)
Total: 50.5

The Falcons responded to a mild slide with two straight wins, and now they’re sitting pretty at 5-3 atop the NFC South. Philly, meanwhile, is trying to figure out how to deal with a regressing rookie quarterback on the fly. The Eagles could keep this competitive at home if they run the ball and defend well, but stopping the league’s most potent offense is easier said than done.

Pick

Falcons
31

Eagles
24

Minnesota Vikings (+3)
VS
Washington Redskins (-3)
Total: 42

Kirk Cousins and co. have done enough to make us believe the Redskins aren’t a one-hit wonder, but running into an angry Vikings team can’t help them this week. Minnesota needs to pump the brakes badly and get a huge road win here, or else face a fourth straight loss. Sam Bradford and co. are better than that (right?), so look for Minny to snap out of their funk and get to 6-3.

Pick

Vikings
27

Redskins
23

Kansas City Chiefs (+3)
VS
Carolina Panthers (-3)
Total: 44

The Chiefs sorely need Alex Smith and Spencer Ware back this week, as they head into the lion’s den to take a revitalized Panthers team. Cam Newton still hasn’t rediscovered his magic, but the Panthers have won two straight and have gotten new life out of their defense. A date with Kansas City’s aggressive defense isn’t ideal for a Panthers offense that still has a lot of work to do, but they’re now equipped to grind out defensive battles – especially at home.

Pick

Panthers
23

Chiefs
20

Houston Texans (-2)
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars (+2)
Total: 42.5

The Houston Texans truly have to be the worst 5-3 team ever known to man, but when you’re facing Blake Bortles and a 2-6 Jaguars team, it might not matter. Houston’s defense will be licking their chops going into this matchup, while Jacksonville’s defense is leaky enough for even Brock Osweiler to find a little success.

Pick

Texans
19

Jaguars
16

Miami Dolphins (+4)
VS
San Diego Chargers (-4)
Total: 49

This is a very tough game to pick, seeing as both the Dolphins and Chargers will be searching for their fifth win of the year and someone’s positive momentum has to be halted. Jay Ajayi and Melvin Gordon have both been absolute monsters, so when you’re splitting things right down the middle, you need to look for the obvious advantage. In this one, the Bolts are at home and have the superior quarterback under center. A shootout is likely, but look for San Diego cling to whatever wild card playoff life they have left.

Pick

Chargers
33

Dolphins
26

Dallas Cowboys (+2)
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)
Total: 50

Tony Romo is hanging over the Cowboys like a dark cloud, as he’s finally been medically cleared and will be waiting for rookie passer Dak Prescott to make a mistake. It just might come this week, too, as Dallas faces a mighty challenge in the Steelers at Heinz Field.

Dallas might be the better team so far this year, but Pittsburgh is floundering and badly needs a win. Look for the Steelers to buckle down and hand the Cowboys their first loss since week one.

Pick

Steelers
30

Cowboys
27

Los Angeles Rams (n/a)
VS
New York Jets (n/a)
Total: n/a

The Rams offer up our first game with no real betting info out there, largely because Ryan Fitzpatrick (knee) is banged up and some speculate the Rams could switch quarterbacks. Fitzpatrick is playing and Case Keenum remains L.A.’s main man under center, but this game is still impossible to gauge.

The narrative of Jared Goff’s eventual turn as the Rams starter looms large, so perhaps a road loss to the Jets will stir the pot even more. Case Keenum does have a good matchup on paper against a bad New York secondary, but he’s Case Keenum, so…

Pick

Jets
24

Rams
19

Chicago Bears (n/a)
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (n/a)
Total: n/a

At least for one week, Jay Cutler returned as the Chicago Bears starting quarterback and all was right with the world. Cutler actually looked good and got the Bears a win over the Vikings, so it’s entirely possible that momentum rolls into week 10.

Chicago does take it to the road here, but Jameis Winston turns the ball over just as much as Cutler ever has and Tampa Bay’s defense isn’t scary. We’ll ride the Cutler wave and see where it takes us.

Pick

Bears
27

Buccaneers
24

San Francisco 49ers (n/a)
VS
Arizona Cardinals (n/a)
Total: n/a

The San Francisco 49ers are awful and haven’t won since week one, and this week they head into the desert where a desperate Cardinals team awaits. This has to be a blowout win for Arizona, who really have handled the Niners pretty well lately. Expect a big game out of Arizona’s offense as they get back to .500 football.

Pick

Cardinals
37

49ers
17

Seattle Seahawks (n/a)
VS
New England Patriots (n/a)
Total: n/a

This is another tough game to gauge, although the reasoning for no betting info being out for the masses yet isn’t clear. Perhaps Vegas just doesn’t know what to do with this game, seeing as Tom Brady hasn’t even turned the ball over yet in his return, but will be facing a finally healthy Russell Wilson.

The Seahawks are super annoying and seem to ruin every bet every invented, but it’s tough to bet against Brady and the Pats right now – especially at Foxborough.

Pick

Patriots
27

Seahawks
23

Cincinnati Bengals (+2)
VS
New York Giant (-2)
Total: 47

The last game of week 10 is a big one for both sides, as Andy Dalton and his Bengals try to inch closer to the top of the AFC North and Eli Manning and the G-Men try to keep pace with the Dallas Cowboys.

Both of these teams have been maddeningly erratic this year, but this game means just a tad more for the Bengals. Cincy is healthier now than they’ve been all year and the Giants seem to always find a way to choke, so look for Cincy to score a huge road win to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Pick

Bengals
26

Giants
20

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