Week 7 NFL Predictions: Can Brock Osweiler Get His Revenge Against Broncos?

by Kevin Roberts
on October 20, 2016

Week seven is set up to be an intense week of NFL action, with several divisional foes squaring off and two massive revenge narratives being put into play. It all starts on Thursday Night Football, where the Green Bay Packers host the hated Chicago Bears and attempt to shake recent injuries to get to 4-2.

There is much more drama to be had, of course, with Sam Bradford leading the undefeated Minnesota Vikings back up against the Philadelphia Eagles – the team that traded him this summer. It’s much the same for Brock Osweiler, who will lead his Houston Texans against the team he played for previously, the Denver Broncos.

While the week 7 NFL storylines are certainly popping, this also figures to be a good week to place some bets and win some cash. Let’s see which situations may offer the best NFL betting opportunities by analyzing and picking each week seven NFL contest:

Chicago Bears (+8.5)

Green Bay Packers (-8.5)

Total: 46

A pretty intense week 7 gets started off right, with a rivalry for the ages. Green Bay has dominated the Bears in the modern era, of course, and Chicago starting Brian Hoyer probably doesn’t help matters.

Still, these Packers have not looked elite over the past two weeks and now enter a big home game without their top two running backs. They’ll also be down their top three cornerbacks and could be hurting badly on both sides of the ball.

This is truly a big moment for the green and gold – especially for star quarterback Aaron Rodgers – as they need to make a statement here to prove they’re not a middling team, but a true contender.

I think they get the win, but they’re beaten down enough that the door is cracked open for the Bears to make this interesting. I’ll take Chicago to beat the spread in a possible shootout.

Pick: Packers 27, Bears 23

New York Giants (-3)

Los Angeles Rams (+3)

Total: 44

The next game up actually goes down overseas, where the Giants and Rams butt heads in London:

This is a true toss-up, as the Giants did come back to life offensively last week and the Rams still boast a pretty stacked defense.

Bovada is calling this one close, largely because these two teams both have some nice strengths, as well as glaring flaws. They’re also at a neutral site and could be bogged down from the traveling.

Los Angeles has the edge defensively, but they surely didn’t look elite on that side of the ball in Detroit last week. It’s also very scary that Odell Beckham Jr. got his swagger back last week. Of these two teams, only the G-Men truly feel like a potential playoff contender, so we’ll side with them to win a tightly contested battle in London.

Pick: Giants 26, Rams 23

Minnesota Vikings (-3)

Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Total: 40

Sunday is full of fun NFL action, too, and not just because it boasts the most games. One big storyline to track is Minnesota quarterback Sam Bradford’s return to Philadelphia:

He’s been trying to downplay the significance of this game; one that gives him a chance to exact revenge on the team that traded him away earlier this year.

We’re not buying that, but it doesn’t really matter. The 5-0 Vikings are the better team with an elite defense and Carson Wentz and Philly have not looked good over the last two weeks. Logic suggests Bradford gets his revenge, one way or another.

Pick: Vikings 29, Eagles 16

New Orleans Saints (+6)

Kansas City Chiefs (-6)

Total: 50.5

This is probably going to be an easier game to call than people think, as the Saints simply do not fare well on the road and Kansas City’s defense looked awesome last week with Justin Houston back in the saddle.

The other thing working for KC here is they play well at home and Jamaal Charles and Spencer Ware give them a deadly running game. If Alex Smith and the passing game can get going (and how can they not against this Saints defense?), KC could put up a ton of points.

New Orleans should put up a fight and keep this closer than Bovada is letting on here, and the Total seems to be well within reach.

Pick: Chiefs 33, Saints 30

Washington Redskins (+1)

Detroit Lions (-1)

Total: 50

Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford both have a tough task this week: trying to prove their team is for real. Washington comes in with a nice 4-2 record, but no one will take them seriously if they lose to the Lions and drop to 4-3. Detroit, meanwhile, could start to turn some heads if they can rise from the ashes of a 1-3 start and get to 4-3.

It’s weird how 4-3 can look so differently on two teams, but that very well could be the case in week seven when the Redskins travel to Detroit. We still have to give Washington the slight edge, however, as Detroit’s defense has been awful and they still can’t run the ball. Advantage: Redskins.

Pick: Redskins 34, Lions 31

Indianapolis Colts (+3)

Tennessee Titans (-3)

Total: 48.5

Andrew Luck says he can share much of the blame for Indy’s rough 2-5 start, but the reality is he is getting zero help. Head coach Chuck Pagano is forever overmatched, the Colts can’t run the ball, their pass protection is dreadful and they can’t stop anyone defensively.

That’s music to the Titans ears, to be sure, but Luck is too good to let the Colts wilt away in the face of such a mediocre opponent. Besides, isn’t the AFC South meant to forever be wishy-washy? We think so, plus it’s tough to completely trust Marcus Mariota just yet.

Pick: Colts 26, Titans 23

Baltimore Ravens (n/a)

New York Jets (n/a)

Total: 41.5

The spread is in danger of being changed this week, as news just broke yesterday that Ryan Fitzpatrick would be benched in favor of Geno Smith. Yikes.

New York is in rough shape and this might be precisely the matchup the Ravens need after dropping three straight games following a 3-0 start.

There is mild concern over Joe Flacco’s status for this week, but if he’s out there we tend to favor the Ravens. They’re the more complete team and have the better matchup on paper.

Pick: Ravens 20, Jets 13

Cleveland Browns (+10)

Cincinnati Bengals (-10)

Total: 45.5

The Browns can’t catch a break, as they’re 0-6 coming into week seven and have to try to get their first win of 2016 on the road against a hungry Bengals team.

Cincinnati has endured a brutal schedule and may finally get Tyler Eifert back. Even without him, you have to love the chances for Andy Dalton and co. to take out their frustrations on the Factory of Sadness.

Pick: Bengals 34, Browns 17

Buffalo Bills (-3)

Miami Dolphins (+3)

Total: 44

The Bills have been rather impressive, rattling off four straight wins to keep all of those “off with Rex Ryan’s head” chants at bay.

The defense has been a big reason for the success, while LeSean McCoy continues to carry a banged up offense.

Buffalo could run into problems this week, as Shady is banged up and may not suit up. That could be an issue on the road against a divisional foe in Miami that just slaughtered the Steelers. It’s tough to buy Miami being for real suddenly, but as we’ve learned, all bets tend to be off in divisional clashes.

That could be the case here in week seven, but the Bills know this is precisely the type of game they need to win to be taken seriously. Look for Rex to get his guys excited about getting to 5-2 this week.

Pick: Bills 27, Dolphins 20

Oakland Raiders (+1)

Jacksonville Jaguars (-1)

Total: 47

The Raiders and Jaguars are two more teams arguably facing a fork in the road this week. Jacksonville has rattled off two straight wins to save their season, while Oakland went from surprise playoff contender to a disappointment last week.

Jacksonville can turn into a wild card playoff contender and AFC South threat with a big home win this week, while the Raiders can stay in the race for the AFC West crown if they get the victory. More is on the line for Oakland and they do seem to be the better team, but this is probably one of the riskier games of the week.

Bovada clearly agrees – as this weak spread turns this into a virtual pick’em. We’ll side with the visiting Raiders, but we admittedly note the danger.

Pick: Raiders 32, Jaguars 29

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)

San Francisco 49ers (+2.5)

Total: 46.5

Jameis Winston and co. get back to work this week, when they head into California to battle Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers. Kap’s return to the starting lineup didn’t make much of a difference last week, and it’s unlikely it will this week, either.

Tampa Bay hasn’t really proven much since beating the Falcons in week one, but they should be well rested and it’s pretty hard to believe they’re worse than San Francisco. Not having Doug Martin (already ruled out) does hurt their offense, but something tells me Winston being better than Kaepernick will give the Bucs all the edge they need in this one.

Pick: Buccaneers 23, 49ers 20

San Diego Chargers (+6.5)

Atlanta Falcons (-6.5)

Total: 54

You really have to feel for the Chargers, who could seriously be undefeated right now, but have lost countless games late due to an inability to close. They did change their course a bit last week, however, when they surprised us all with an upset over the Denver Broncos.

San Diego has a ton of fight and some underrated talent, so I absolutely give them a chance to throw a curveball here and stage the upset, but more than likely it results in a close loss in ATL, and not a win.

The Falcons, meanwhile, got severely burned late last week and will be fuming as they head home. The Chargers won’t be an easy kill, but a kill, nonetheless.

Pick: Falcons 34, Chargers 27

New England Patriots (-7.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers (+7.5)

Total: 47

This usually epic AFC clash just won’t be the same this week, as Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (knee) is out and will be out for possibly a month:

That puts Landry Jones in under center and severely hinders a normally potent Pittsburgh offense. Considering the Steelers have twice been held to 15 points or less even with Big Ben this year, that’s bad news.

Pittsburgh still is at home and has loads of offensive talent, so there is a glimmer of hope. Odds are Tom Brady comes in and slays the Steelers, though.

Pick: Patriots 30, Steelers 22

Seattle Seahawks (+2)

Arizona Cardinals (-2)

Total: 43.5

Easily one of the biggest (and nastiest) games of week seven is this showdown in the desert between the Seahawks and Cardinals. This is a huge game for Arizona specifically, as they got off to a disappointing 1-3 start and have worked their way back to respectability.

Seattle was stunned by the Rams in week two and barely beat the Falcons last week, so we know they’re far from invincible. With Arizona’s defense back to playing lights out football and the Cards getting the full support of their fans at home, we like AZ to pull it out and close the gap at the top of the NFC West.

Pick: Cardinals 24, Seahawks 20

Houston Texans (+7.5)

Denver Broncos (-7.5)

Total: 41

The final game of the week begs for the revenge narrative to pop up, as Brock Osweiler leads his Texans against his old Broncos to cap the week on Monday Night Football.

There is obviously a slim chance Osweiler plays the game of his life here, leaning hard on anger from his days in Denver. Denver is reeling after two straight losses, though, so it’s hard to buy them getting spanked in their own backyard by a guy who is playing truly awful football.

Pick: Broncos 27, Texans 17

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