Women’s Wimbledon Finals: Serena Williams a Big Favorite to Win Wimbledon
One by one, the top-ranked women’s tennis players fell at Wimbledon as fans and pundits shook their heads in disbelief. In the end, the unlikely appearance of Serena Williams in the Wimbledon Finals has left many in shock and some calling this one of tennis’ greatest fairy tales.
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Heading into Wimbledon
Heading into Wimbledon, there was controversy surrounding Serena Williams. She was coming off an injury in the French Open and hasn’t performed well at all in 2018, ever since she returned from giving birth last fall. Some of Serena’s competition didn’t want Wimbledon to rank her due to her abysmal 2018. However, despite the protests, Serena was ranked 25th for the tournament. Oddsmakers set her at a +500 betting line, which I thought was crazy considering here overall condition and on-court play.
Williams’s opponent Angelique Kerber was a +1000 odds on favorite to win tennis’ greatest tournament in her 12th overall appearance. The 30-year old came into Wimbledon as the #11 ranked women’s player in the world, but that ranking could skyrocket if she beats Serena.
WTA Wimbledon Final Betting Odds
With the Finals match scheduled for Saturday, July 14th, BetOnline has released the following betting odds:
- Money line: Serena Williams (-196) and Angelique Kerber (+171)
- Match Spread: Serena Williams -3.5 (-101) and Angelique Kerber +3.5 (-119)
- Total Points: Over 22 (-106) and Under 22 (-114)
2018 Women’s Wimbledon Semifinals Recap
Serena Williams dominated her Semifinals matchup against #13 Julia Goerges. It took Williams just 70 minutes to win 6-2, 6-4. Serena won her 20th consecutive match at Wimbledon and scored 27 of 31 points on her first serve. Williams had 5 aces, 16 winners, 7 unforced errors and a serve that almost cracked 120 mph. In other words, Serena is back!
Angelique Kerber also played a solid game in her Semifinals match where she defeated #12 ranked Jelena Ostapenko 6-3, 6-3 in just 68 minutes. Kerber had 3 aces, won 4 break points, and only had 7 unforced errors.
2018 Women’s Wimbledon Finals Matchup
Serena Williams is arguably the greatest women’s tennis player of all-time. She has 23 Grand Slam singles titles and another 16 doubles titles for a total of 39 career Grand Slam titles. Serena is 7-2 all-time in Wimbledon Finals and could capture her 8th career Wimbledon championship with a win on Saturday. Williams defeated Kerber in the 2016 Wimbledon Finals 7-5, 6-3.
Angelique Kerber has 2 career Grand Slam titles: 2016 Australian Open and 2016 US Open. In that same year, Kerber lost in the Finals at Wimbledon to Serena Williams who got her revenge after losing to Angelique in the Australian open.
This Finals matchup will be the 3rd time that these two women meet in a Grand Slam Final. Last year, Kerber was bounced in the 4th round at Wimbledon. In fact 2017 was a poor showing for her. However, 2018 has looked much better as she made it to the Semifinals of the Australian Open and the Quarterfinal of the French Open.
Serena didn’t play in Wimbledon last year due to her pregnancy. But, she did win the 2015 and 2016 Wimbledon tournaments. She’s looking to capture her 3rd Wimbledon title in the last 4 years.
According to an article by ESPN, about the upcoming Finals match against Kerber:
“Believe me, I know she wants to go out there and win. So do I. I think it will be just like the last final; it will be really good. But this is different. I have to be ready for the match of my life.”
Angelique Kerber offered a bit more analysis about her upcoming opponent as to WTATennis.com:
“I know that she is always pushing you to the limits to play your best tennis. This is the only chance to beat her. I think it is a completely new match [from 2016]. I think we both learned a lot. She’s coming back. For me also, I’m coming back from 2017. I know that I have to play my best, best tennis to beat her, especially on the grass, on the Centre Court, where she won so many titles here. I’m looking forward to playing against her. It’s always an honor playing against her.”
2018 Women’s Wimbledon Finals Betting Prediction
As great as it would be for the sport of women’s tennis to see Kerber win, I believe this championship is Serena’s to lose. She has the all-time record of 24 Grand Slam titles in her reach and I don’t see any reason why she doesn’t beat Kerber on Saturday and tie Margaret Court’s all-time Grand Slam record.
I believe Serena has proven that she’s rebounded from her pregnancy and getting better with each game. As for the Wimbledon Finals bets, I like the following:
- Money line: Serena Williams (-196)
- Spread: Serena Williams -3.5 (-101)
- Total Points: Under 22 (-114)
I predict that Serena wins 6-4, 6-3 and captures her 24th career Grand Slam title. Afterwards, we will be hailing her as the “Queen of Tennis.”