Yankees at Indians MLB Pick for June 7
Following a win in Toronto over the Blue Jays on Thursday night, the Yankees will come back into the U.S. to begin a three-game weekend series in Cleveland. The Yankees will be getting some good news as well, as Didi Gregorius is set to make his season debut. Gregorius has yet to play so far this season after undergoing Tommy John surgery, but the Yankees will finally have their starting shortstop back in the lineup.
The Indians, meanwhile, are treading water. Thursday’s 5-4 loss to the division-leading Twins dropped the Tribe to 31-31 on the year. They’re still in second place in the AL Central, but they’re already 10 ½ games behind Minnesota. Making up that kind of ground isn’t impossible considering how much time is left in the campaign, but Cleveland hasn’t looked like a legitimate contender so far this year. If the season ended today, the Indians would miss the playoffs altogether.
|2019 ATR Home||19-14-0||14-18-0|
|2019 ATR Away||15-13-0||15-15-0|
|2019 O/U Home||11-21-1||14-17-1|
|2019 O/U Away||20-6-2||11-18-1|
Yanks Getting Healthier
Gregorius will be just the latest injured Yankee to make his return to the lineup. However, New York is still waiting on a number of other key cogs to come back. Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, Miguel Andujar, Dellin Betances, Luis Severino, Greg Bird, and Troy Tulowitzki are still on the injured list.
Even with so many important players having missed time, the Yankees are still atop the AL East. New York enters Friday with a record of 39-22, which gives them a 1 ½-game cushion on the Rays for first place. The Red Sox are lurking 6 ½ games back.
Domingo German has been one reason for the Yankees’ success in spite of injuries. The young right-hander has been stellar so far this season. His 3.66 ERA is outstanding for an American League starter, and his 3.82 SIERA shows that the ERA isn’t a fluke. German has also racked up strikeouts at a 26.6% clip while limiting walks (6.7%).
German has yielded a 37.3 hard-hit rate, and he has already allowed 10 homers through his first 12 appearances. The home run number is certainly noteworthy considering he allowed just 15 homers last season. Even so, German has been a stabilizing force in the New York rotation.
Young Gun to the Rescue?
Shane Bieber has been arguably the Indians’ best pitcher this season, but the Tribe is getting help from another youngster. Zach Plesac, the son of former big leaguer Dan Plesac, has given the Indians a couple of excellent outings since getting called up from the minors late last month. Plesac has a 1.46 ERA through two starts against the Red Sox and White Sox.
In his most recent outing against Chicago, Plesac held the White Sox to just a run on four hits with seven strikeouts in seven innings of work. Plesac has a 20.5% K-rate through his two big league starts, but it’s safe to say that should continue to rise as he moves forward. Plesac had a 29% strikeout rate so far this season at the Triple-A level.
The Yankee lineup obviously gets a bit more daunting with the return of the left-handed Gregorius, but the majority of the Yankee hitters swing it from the right side of the plate. That bodes well for Plesac, who has held righties to a wOBA of just .220 through two starts.
I think the Indians are being undervalued here by oddsmakers. You can get the Tribe at +110 to win the game outright on the moneyline at home tonight, which is a pretty decent value. New York is clearly the better team at this point, but I think Plesac does profile well against a powerful Yankee lineup.
German has been excellent for the Yankees, but the Indians lineup will likely be packed with left-handed hitters, which doesn’t bode all that well for him. Cleveland can pack the batting order with as many as seven left-handed bats against him, so it’s not looking like an amazing spot by any means for German.
I like Cleveland tonight. Bet on the Indians to win here on the moneyline.
$100 stake could win...